Tonight at around 6 p.m., the House of Representatives will vote on the Boehner plan, which would create another debt ceiling crisis in less than six months andlikely lead to a downgrade in U.S. credit. Boehner needs 216 votes to pass the plan. Since there are 240 Republican members of the House, Boehner can only afford to have 24 Republicans vote against the bill — provided he does not get any Democratic votes.
The conventional wisdom in the media and in political circles is that Boehner will find the votes to pass the bill. Usually, legislative leaders are able to twist enough arms to get key priorities passed.
But a careful review of public statements by House Republicans to the media and phone calls to congressional offices by ThinkProgress reveals that 25 House Republicans have already expressed opposition to the Boehner plan. Here’s the list:
The conventional wisdom in the media and in political circles is that Boehner will find the votes to pass the bill. Usually, legislative leaders are able to twist enough arms to get key priorities passed.
But a careful review of public statements by House Republicans to the media and phone calls to congressional offices by ThinkProgress reveals that 25 House Republicans have already expressed opposition to the Boehner plan. Here’s the list:
1. Todd Akin (R-MO) [The Hill]
2. Justin Amash (R-MI) [The Hill]
3. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) [ThinkProgress]
4. Paul Broun (R-GA) [Call to office]
5. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT) [The Hill]
6. Jeff Duncan (R-SC) [The State]
7. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) [Twitter]
8. Trent Franks (R-AZ) [National Journal]
9. Phil Gingrey (R-GA) [Twitter]
10. Louis Gohmert (R-TX) [National Review]
11. Trey Gowdy (R-SC) [NYT]
12. Tom Graves (R-GA) [Twitter]
13. Andy Harris (R-MD) [Baltimore Sun]
14. Tim Huelskamp (R-KS) [The Hill]
15. Steve King (R-IA) [The Hill]
16. Jim Jordan (R-OH) [The Hill]
17. Jeff Landry (R-LA) [National Review]
18. Connie Mack (R-FL) [Politico]
19. Mick Mulvaney (R-SC) [The Hill]
20. Ron Paul (R-TX) [Call to office]
21. Dennis Ross (R-FL) [National Review]
22. Steve Southerland (R-FL) [RCP]
23. Joe Walsh (R-IL) [MSNBC]
24. Joe Wilson (R-SC) [National Journal]
25. Tim Scott (R-SC) [Fox News, 4:20PM]
Additionally, according to the Hill, two additional members — Michael Turner (R-OH) and Paul Gosar (R-AZ) — are leaning no.
Thus far, no House Democrats have publicly supported the Boehner plan.
This morning, Boehner acknowledged, “We do not have the votes yet.” Unless Boehner is able to switch the stated positions of numerous Republicans or attract substantial Democratic support, it’s likely to be a very close vote.
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